Publications
2022
Bayona, J. A., Savran, W. H., Rhoades, D. A., & Werner, M. J. (2022). Prospective evaluation of multiplicative hybrid earthquake forecasting models in California. Geophysical Journal International, 229(3), 1736-1753, https://doi.org/10.1093/gji/ggac018
Savran, W., Werner, M., Schorlemmer, D., and Maechling, P. (2022). pyCSEP: A Python Toolkit For Earthquake Forecast Developers, Journal of Open Source Software, 7(69), 3658, https://doi.org/10.21105/joss.03658
2021
Mancini, S., M. J. Werner, M. Segou, and B. Baptie (2021). Probabilistic Forecasting of Hydraulic Fracturing‐Induced Seismicity Using an Injection‐Rate Driven ETAS Model, Seismological Research Letters 92 3471-3481. https://doi.org/10.1785/0220200454
2020
Bayona, J. A., W. Savran, A. Strader, S. Hainzl, F. Cotton, and D. Schorlemmer (2020). Two global ensemble seismicity models obtained from the combination of interseismic strain measurements and earthquake-catalogue information, Geophysical Journal International, 224, 1945-1955. https://doi.org/10.1093/gji/ggaa554
Savran, W. H., Werner, M. J., Marzocchi, W., Rhoades, D. A., Jackson, D. D., Milner, K., Field, E., Michael, A. (2020). Pseudoprospective Evaluation of UCERF3-ETAS Forecasts during the 2019 Ridgecrest Sequence. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 110(4), 1799-1817. https://doi:10.1785/0120200026
Mancini, S., Segou, M., Werner, M. J., & Parsons, T. (2020). The Predictive Skills of Elastic Coulomb Rate-and-State Aftershock Forecasts during the 2019 Ridgecrest, California, Earthquake Sequence. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 110(4), 1736-1751. https://doi:10.1785/0120200028